Spotting AI Opportunities
The Feasibility Checklist
7 min+60 XPStep 1/10
The one-second heuristic, upgraded
Andrew Ng's famous screen: if a typical human can do a mental task in under a second, today's AI can probably learn it too. It's a decent filter for technical feasibility — but technical feasibility is the cheap half. Plenty of technically-doable AI features lose money.
The commercial checklist is stricter. Five questions:
- Frequent? A task done 10,000 times a day amortizes build cost; one done quarterly never will
- Expensive per instance? Automating a $5 task with a $0.05 model call is a business; automating a $0.02 task isn't worth the engineering
- Does the data exist? You need examples — yours, a vendor's, or what a base model already absorbed. No data, no product
- Are errors tolerable? AI is probabilistic. If one wrong answer in 10,000 is a lawsuit, the accuracy bar may be unreachable
- Is there a feedback loop? Can you detect wrong answers and improve? Products without loops stay at demo quality forever
insight
Run the checklist on your own backlog. Most 'AI ideas' die on question four — error tolerance — not on model capability.